Brock Lesnar vs. Mark Hunt Pre-Fight Analysis+Prediction - UFC 200


The long-awaited, highly-anticipated UFC Fight Week is finally upon us. 35 fights over three days. It's going to be absolutely insane. To honor the festivities, the site will exclusively cover MMA for the next week. You can expect pre-fight analysis and predictions for Jones vs. Cormier (UPDATE: Fight has been canceled), and you can check some other already published articles like the RDA vs. Alvarez analysis (here) or the best fights of 2016 (here). However, today I have the pleasure of talking and briefly breaking down the dream match-up between Brock Lesnar and Mark Hunt. Let's get to it:


Brock Lesnar may be the most bizarre character to ever step foot in the octagon. Born and raised in a dairy farm, he went on to become an NCAA Division I All-American, almost making it to the NFL and spending most of his adulthood as a WWE pro-wrestler. Eventually, he decided to pull the trigger and give the MMA game a go. The results were quite shocking. Not known for his technique, striking, or Jiu-Jitsu, he usually attempts to utilize his freaky athleticism in order to take you to the ground and pound you out. As rudimentary as it may sounds, it mostly worked. At UFC 100, he was able to defeat Frank Mir and become the Undisputed Heavyweight Champion of the world. One hundred Pay-Per-Views after, the UFC dropped some serious skrilla to get Brock to show up and come out of his almost five-year-long sabbatical. Across the cage we'll see one of the hardest punchers in Mixed Martial Arts, Mark Hunt.


Mark Hunt is the face of Australian MMA. A professional fighter since 2004, he has some of the heaviest hands you'll see in the UFC. He's not the quickest nor the most agile, but a solid punch will crack even the best chins out there. For the longest time, Hunt had some major holes in his ground game. Guys would easily take him down and catch him with submissions (reflective on his 12-10-1 record). Nevertheless, he truly improved his defense and is currently sitting on a two-fight winning streak. A win over Brock Lesnar at the biggest stage of them all would instantly place him back in the title picture.


What are the keys to the fight? The first one is Brock's wrestling. Now, many heavyweights go for takedowns in a very technical and clean fashion. Lesnar just kinda charges at you and uses his superior strength to drag you down. When it comes to him, you're not defending a man's takedown attempt. You're escaping a brown bear who's trying to lay on top of you. The second key is Mark's right hand. A lot of his KO's have come by a hook or overhand. Even if Brock has a ten inch reach advantage, Hunt has previously shown success at cutting distance (look at his Stefan Struve bout).
You could break each guy's technique for hours. In reality, the winner of the fight will be the one who can successfully impose his gameplan.

It's important to point out that people are instantly riding Lesnar's chances off, which I believe is a huge mistake.


Many of the fights taking place this week have dozens of possible outcomes. In my mind, there are only 2 ways this bout can end. Option A: Lesnar manages to hit the takedown and pounds Hunt into dreamland. I don't see Super Samoan recovering/getting to his feet if Brock gets him down. Option B: Lesnar walks into a bomb from Hunt and subsequently gets knocked out. Or as a Reddit user pointed out, there's a last possibility. Option C: CM Punk distracts the referee and Lesnar puts Hunt to sleep with a steel chair.

I'm going with option A.


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